Bitcoin short-term setup is challenging, JPMorgan strategists warn

Published at: June 28, 2021

Bitcoin’s (BTC) weekend dance between $30,000 and $34,000 seems to strengthen the short-term uncertainty narrative, as JPMorgan strategists believe the cryptocurrency market is not yet healthy.

A Friday note from the JPMorgan Chase team suggested that the near-term setup for Bitcoin still looks challenging. Based on the on-chain data, JPMorgan strategists said that “there is likely still an overhang of underwater positions which need to be cleared through the market.”

JPMorgan lists the Bitcoin futures market’s stability and the possibility of increased production costs due to miners’ migration from China as positive factors. Bitcoin’s cost of production is historically tied to its price, several analyses show. So, a price bump in the cost of mining may have a booster effect on Bitcoin’s price.

The note suggests that the cryptocurrency market appears to be at the beginning of a healing process but is not quite healthy yet. Fundstrat’s David Grider recommended reducing the risk or buying some protection, according to Bloomberg.

Related: Bitcoin bounces off $30,000 amid the possibility of exit to mid-$40K range

A bounce off $30,000, which is seen as a critical support level, came after the JPMorgan note. Bitcoin’s price dove to $30,070 before quickly recovering to $33,445 over the weekend, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

The weekend saw a positive statement for the biggest cryptocurrency from Ricardo Salinas Pliego, Mexico’s third-richest man, who named Bitcoin the new gold. The price climbed above $35,000 as of Monday morning.

Tags
Related Posts
Bitcoin price crash isn’t over, says JPMorgan strategist
Following the worst May for Bitcoin’s (BTC) price in the past 10 years, the largest cryptocurrency is likely to continue falling in the short term, according to JPMorgan analysts. Weakened institutional demand is likely to drag the Bitcoin price below $30,000, JPMorgan strategist and Bitcoin expert Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote in the latest research note to clients. Based on Bitcoin’s volatility ratios to gold, the JPMorgan analyst forecasted that Bitcoin will continue to trade between $24,000 and $36,000 in the mid-term. “The fair value for bitcoin based on a volatility ratio of Bitcoin to gold of around x4 would be 1/4th …
Bitcoin / June 1, 2021
Bitcoin becoming a cyclical asset, not a hedge, according to JPMorgan strategists
The Bitcoin (BTC) bull market has put the flagship cryptocurrency on par with cyclical assets as opposed to a hedge against market stress, according to analysts at JPMorgan Chase. JPMorgan strategists John Normand and Federico Manicardi say anyone betting on Bitcoin as a portfolio diversifier is putting themselves at risk. In a Thursday report obtained by Bloomberg, the strategists called Bitcoin the “least reliable hedge during periods of acute market stress.” They added: “The mainstreaming of crypto ownership is raising correlations with cyclical assets, potentially converting them from insurance to leverage.” Cyclical assets typically refer to stocks that follow the …
Bitcoin / Jan. 21, 2021
Bitcoin could hit $146K long-term by 'crowding out gold,' says JPMorgan
Drawing parallels between Bitcoin (BTC) and gold's role as a hedge for investors has been popular for years. Until now, the stark discrepancy in the total market capitalizations of the two assets has limited these analogies to a significant extent. Gold, even after a major Bitcoin price rise in Dec. 2020, continues to command roughly 4.6 times Bitcoin's current $585 billion market capitalization. Yet strategists at the American multinational megabank JPMorgan Chase are forecasting a possible scenario in which Bitcoin can seriously take on its predecessor. On Jan. 5, a Bloomberg report cited a note from the bank's strategists, led …
Bitcoin / Jan. 5, 2021
Don’t expect large firms to follow Tesla’s Bitcoin move, JPMorgan says
Strategists at JPMorgan Chase, one of the largest investment banks in the United States, believe that Tesla’s $1.5 billion Bitcoin (BTC) purchase will not necessarily trigger a ton of similar investments. A group of JPMorgan strategists led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou reportedly argued that Bitcoin’s highly volatile nature could keep mainstream corporate treasurers away from Bitcoin. “The main issue with the idea that mainstream corporate treasurers will follow the example of Tesla is the volatility of Bitcoin,” the strategists wrote in a note to investors, Bloomberg reported Tuesday. According to JPMorgan, even a small portion of Bitcoin in corporate treasures’ portfolios …
Adoption / Feb. 10, 2021
Not bad for 2020: Up 42% in Q4, Bitcoin price outperforms top bank stocks
Historically, traditional market analysts and old school investors tend to look at Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies with a wary eye, and when crypto pundits attempt to make comparisons between the two these investors say it's an apples to oranges argument. Take, for example, Warren Buffett, who many a time has said Bitcoin is nothing more than a Ponzi scheme as it does not produce anything and therefore has no value. According to these traditionalists, comparing Bitcoin to Apple, Tesla, or a bank stock like JPMorgan is irrational as the latter employ workers, produce products, and generate revenues and dividends which …
Adoption / Nov. 5, 2020