Market is proving Bitcoin is ‘ultimate safe haven’ — Anthony Pompliano

Published at: Oct. 26, 2020

Bitcoin (BTC) “could not be more uncorrelated” with the stock market, Anthony Pompliano says as data shows that BTC is leaving macro assets behind.

In a series of tweets on Oct. 26, the Morgan Creek Digital co-founder, also known as “Pomp,” took critics to task over their accusations that Bitcoin was a poor store of value.

Pomp on safe haven Bitcoin: “The market is proving it”

Pompliano uploaded a chart from behavior analysis platform Santiment, which showed Bitcoin hitting 0 for 30-day correlation with the S&P 500.

“It could not be more uncorrelated than it is right now,” he added in comments.

Bitcoin vs. S&P 500 rolling correlation chart. Source: Anthony Pompliano/ Twitter

Continuing, Pompliano highlighted Bitcoin beating macro asset returns since the Coronavirus crash in March this year.

“So how did Bitcoin do during an economic downturn? It outperformed stocks, bonds, gold, oil, and pretty much everything else. It also has a low to no correlation over any material amount of time,” he summarized.

“Bitcoin is the ultimate safe haven & the market is proving it.”

Circling $13,150, BTC/USD has offered investors year-to-date returns of 83%, versus 24% for gold and 6% for the S&P 500, data from on-chain monitoring resource Skew confirms.

For Pompliano, previous correlation between Bitcoin and these assets was merely a short-term phenomenon induced by the March events.

“During liquidity crises, all asset correlations trend towards 1. This was temporary thing & happened to gold, stocks, etc.,” he wrote.

Bitcoin vs. macro asset performance. Source: Skew

No more correlation?

As Cointelegraph reported, a consensus has been building that Bitcoin is not only abandoning its correlation with stocks and others but that this will be a definitive watershed which will not be reversed.

Among those promoting the idea is Willy Woo, the statistician and creator of data resource Woobull, who continues to double down on Bitcoin striking out on its own sooner rather than later.

“The decoupling is upon us,” he tweeted last week.

“Makes sense that BTC will continue to be correlated in short timeframe trading; but not in the longer timeframes. BTC is a safehaven, just that ‘risk-on’ (meaning it's very new) is skewing this fact.”
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