A Year After $20K, Blockchain Capital Exec Says Investors Will Regret Not Buying In Now

Published at: Dec. 18, 2018

One year after Bitcoin (BTC) broke crypto industry records to hit $20,000, a partner at venture capital firm Blockchain Capital says that today’s bearish market represents “a fantastic buying opportunity.” Spencer Bogart made his remarks during an interview on CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Dec. 17.

Bitcoin is now trading around $3,550, up 2 percent and capping gains of around $260 in the 24 hours before press time. The coin, however, is over 82 percent down from its price point this time last year.

Emphasizing that Blockchain Capital is a “long-term venture investor,” Bogart told CNBC:

“Could Bitcoin go to $50,000? Absolutely. It doesn’t have the same kind of price-to-earnings, enterprise value to revenue that normally puts a kind of upper bound or a ceiling on a typical early-stage technology company [...] How long will it take? I’m not sure.”

After CNBC host Melissa Lee criticized the belief that the historic 2017 bull run “could only go higher,” Bogart said that “there is absolutely nothing wrong with the [bull] thesis,” but noted that — up until recently — the Bitcoin market has been “almost entirely driven by retail [investors].” This, he suggested, still results in bull market runs “going a little too high,” and conversely, bearish dips “too low.”

Bogart stressed that notwithstanding short-term price weakness, the core characteristics of the technology and concept are still there. In particular, the VC exec stated that 2018 has seen major advancements in scaling, with the Lightning Network helping to “transact extremely cheaply, and extremely quickly.”

He further pointed to increased institutionalization of the asset class, with this year’s endowments from United States Ivy League universities — such as Yale and Harvard — the forthcoming Bitcoin derivatives and the global digital assets trading platform from the Intercontinental Exchange’s (ICE) “Bakkt,” and the establishment of more qualified custodians for crypto assets.

Bogart’s last bullish remarks highlighted the outstanding “quality of the talent that we’re seeing entering the space,” adding that “a lot of the best and brightest are saying ‘I want to go work on Bitcoin.”

With one last consideration on price volatility, Bogart said that Bitcoin today could also “absolutely” go lower — “anywhere between here and $2,000 or even $1,000” — but that all of these price points represent “a great buying opportunity,” adding:

“When we look back 24 or even 12 months from now, we’re going to say, ‘why didn’t I buy then?’”

In recent comments, crypto bull and co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors Thomas Lee said he believes the “fair value of Bitcoin is significantly higher than the current price.” He proposed a figure between $13,800 and $14,800, considering the number of active wallet addresses, usage per account and other factors influencing supply.

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