Up 150% Chainlink & Tezos Lead the Crypto Recovery but for How Long?

Published at: April 21, 2020

Any discussion over the current price action in the crypto market is likely to include some reference to Chainlink (LINK) and Tezos (XTZ). 

Both have seen some of the most volatile and massive flows of the past twelve months in the cryptomarkets. Since the Black Thursday crash on March 12, Chainlink has seen a surge of 156% and Tezos has rallied by 152%.

The question is, will these altcoins remain the leaders of the pack and indicate future surges in the altcoin market? 

Crypto market daily performance. Source: Coin360

Is Chainlink moving to a new all-time high? 

Looking back, the crash on March 12 started at $3.80 for Chainlink. In just over a month’s time, the price has rallied back up to the levels prior to the crash. Such a move shows strength and interest from buyers.

LINK USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

As the chart shows, Chainlink reclaimed the monthly support level at $2.25 and started to show off strength since. Remarkably, the price quickly rallied towards $3.80 but this is no surprise as there are not many resistances in between $2.20 and $3.80. 

Alongside the huge gap between support levels in the chart, Chainlink and Tezos have both been showing incredible strength when Bitcoin (BTC) price moves. If Bitcoin decides to move upwards, Chainlink and Tezos generally move up as well, but in a way higher degree than Bitcoin itself. 

Chainlink and Tezos are the two strongest trending coins in the past 18 months and each regularly shows massive volatility and volume for traders. 

However, after such a surge, it’s more likely to see short term corrective movements than further upwards momentum. Especially given the current market sentiment in which people fear for their financial situation. Equity markets remain shaky and it seems that a breakdown in Bitcoin price is on the way. 

LINK BTC 6-hour chart. Source: TradingView

On the 6-hour timeframe, LINK/BTC shows a potential bearish divergence and a clear resistance area to which the coin surged.

Crucial for confirmation of this bearish divergence would be a drop below $3.30-$3.35, as that’s the current support. The $3.30-$3.35 is also an area that’s been the previous top in an earlier surge. 

Losing the $3.30-$3.35 level would confirm downwards pressure and a trend reversal, through which the bearish divergence is confirmed as well. If such a breakdown occurs, likely levels to target are at $2.80 and possibly $2.20-$2.30.

LINK/BTC moves closer to an all-time high

LINK BTC 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

The 1-day chart currently shows strength and a similar conclusion can be drawn regarding the LINK/USDT. However, potential bearish divergences confluent with decreasing volume can be spotted. If the price decides to reverse and lose the green zone around 0.000490000 satoshis, the price is prepped for a further decline in the coming weeks. 

If the green zone is lost then traders will shift their focus to the 0.00044000 sats and 0.00035000sats levels. However, breaking through the high at 0.00053000 sats signals that a new all-time high is on the cards.

Tezos shows similar strength with a 150% surge

XTZ USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

The XTZ/USDT pair shows a similar chart as Chainlink and the price surged more than 150% in just a month. 

However, similar weaknesses can also be spotted in the recent movements of the markets, through which assumptions can be made that the price is close to reverse in trend.

XTZ USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour shows Tezos was unable to break through the daily resistance at $2.35 and reversed. However, unlike Chainlink, the price is not resting on its previous top from April 12. 

Tezos price is resting on its last support at $2.08 and losing this level would lead to a heavy dropdown to $1.78 or lower and an apparent confirmation of a trend shift. 

On the upside, levels to be watched should be the $2.24-$2.25 area. A clear rejection from this zone would mean that this level has flipped resistance from support. After such rejection, a further decline is likely to occur for the markets.

However, if the $2.24 level can be reclaimed for support, a further surge towards $2.50-$2.60 is back on the tables. Such a move would be similar to Bitcoin moving to $7,600-$8,000.

XTZ/BTC is at a crucial level 

XTZ BTC 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

The XTZ/BTC pair is currently fighting a crucial level as the 0.00003200 sats level is the last massive resistance until the highs can be tested again. 

An apparent breakthrough of this monthly level would mean a continuation to the market and a likely surge towards 0.00003750 sats.

XTZ BTC 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows a clear rejection from the monthly level, through which a bearish divergence can be spotted on the RSI as well. 

Through such a structure, in the short term, it’s more likely to have a slight extension of the current correction than an immediate breakthrough of the monthly level.

In that regard, if Tezos can hold the 0.00002925 sats or 0.00002750sats-0.00002800sats level for support, a further test of the monthly level is on the tables. 

As stated above, a breakthrough at the monthly level would mean a further surge towards the highs around 0.00003800 sats. 

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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