Fundstrat’s Tom Lee: Bitcoin Misery Index Indicators Show the Crypto ‘Isn't Broken’

Published at: Aug. 7, 2018

Bitcoin (BTC) “isn't broken” if it’s holding at the current price and volatility levels, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee said to CNBC's "Fast Money" on August 6.

In the interview, the Wall Street bull referred to the current indicators of Fundstrat’s recently launched Bitcoin Misery Index (BMI), which aims to inform investors of how “miserable” holders of the currency are based on its price and volatility.

According to Lee, when the index is below 27, it shows that future returns are very good, while if it surpasses 68 percent, it is “time to sell Bitcoin.” Pointing at the index’s current number of 39, Lee concluded that the momentum is “recovering,” noting

"Bitcoin isn't broken if it's holding at these levels. I think people are afraid it is going to go back down to $6,000 and never come back from those bear markets.”

Fundstrat’s head of research also pointed out the current levels of Bitcoin dominance on the crypto markets, which has surged up to around 48 percent over the past several weeks after dropping to as low as 37 percent in July.  

As Lee explained, the fact that major cryptocurrency keeps gaining momentum in terms of market share is “actually showing the market is reacting to what's been taking place."

Lee also pointed at the recent biggest news in the industry, such as the Intercontinental Exchange’s (ICE) announcement of developing a new global digital assets platform, as well as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) stating that Bitcoin is not a security.

On Aug. 3, ICE, the operator of 23 leading global exchanges including the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), announced its plans to build an integrated digital assets platform to enable customers, merchants, and institutional clients to buy, sell, store, and spend digital assets on a “seamless global network.”

In the beginning of July, Lee repeated his stance that Bitcoin could reach anywhere between $22,000 to $25,000 by the end of 2018. Earlier this summer, on June 27, Lee had predicted that the BTC downtrend that took place in June would be reversed if Bitcoin could push through a resistance point of $6,300 to $6,400.

Tags
Sec
Related Posts
Fundstrat Survey: 54% of Institutional Players Think Bitcoin Price Has Already ‘Bottomed’
Institutions appear to be more bullish on Bitcoin (BTC) than the members of the crypto community on Twitter, according to a recent survey by Fundstrat Global Advisors. Tom Lee, managing partner and head of research for the company, has revealed this in an interview with CNBC Oct. 4. Based on the results of a private survey of 25 institutions, as well as 9,500 responses to a public Twitter poll conducted September 30, Tom Lee concluded that Wall Street is calling a bottom in Bitcoin. As much as 54 percent of respondents to the survey of institutions are optimistic about the …
Bitcoin / Oct. 4, 2018
On the Importance of Not Losing — A Guide to Compound Interest
When I began to get interested in trading, about 20 years ago, I read many books on the topic. One day, I saw: “In order to make money in the markets, the importance is not to lose.” Duh! — did I tell myself while reading… only later to discover the real meaning behind that catchy phrase, which I have since applied when trading, and to a great benefit. The eighth wonder of the world In order to understand the true meaning of, “In order to make money in the markets, the importance is to not lose,” one has to remember …
Bitcoin / July 11, 2020
Investment Firm Files Prospectus for New BTC Futures Fund With US SEC
Investment management company Stone Ridge is trying to register a new Bitcoin (BTC) futures offering with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The new fund is called NYDIG Bitcoin Strategy Fund and describes itself as “a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company that continuously offers its shares,” with an objective to achieve capital appreciation by investing in BTC futures contracts, according to an Oct. 2 filing. Cash-settled BTC futures only Detailing its investment strategy, the company noted that the fund will only invest in cash-settled BTC futures traded on commodity exchanges registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, …
Bitcoin / Oct. 3, 2019
CNBC’s Ran Neuner Says ‘Bitcoin Is About to Explode,’ Points to Pending ETF Decision
Crypto analyst and host of CNBC’s show Cryptotrader Ran Neuner has claimed that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is “about to explode” in a recent tweet October 7. Neuner expressed his utmost confidence in an upcoming surge in Bitcoin’s price by noting “I just bought Bitcoin for my parents” in the same tweet. A notable rally would likely be tied to the U.S. Security and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) highly-anticipated upcoming decision on several Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) applications, the trader claimed in another tweet posted the same day. Explaining his optimistic prediction, the crypto analyst pointed to the fact that …
Etf / Oct. 8, 2018
Notes From the Brink: Reasons Behind the Crypto Bear Market
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision. Crypto is notoriously a “tough neighbourhood,” as even evergreen Bitcoin bull Tom Lee has put it. After a week in which double-digit losses wreaked havoc on many high-profile cryptos, and Bitcoin (BTC) momentarily fell through the $6,000 support, pitiless bearish sentiment has been circling, with some accusing the top coin of being “exhibit A” in a “permanently impaired or even game‐over” market. While Bitcoin may have posted 2018 lows, Ethereum (ETH) also plummeted to …
Bitcoin / Aug. 16, 2018