3 reasons why Solana (SOL) price could see additional upside in 2022

Published at: Dec. 17, 2021

Solana (SOL) has become a top contender in the smart contract industry and in the past year the network's total value locked (TVL) grew by $660 million and stretches across more than 40 decentralized applications to hit an all-time high above $11 billion.

Even with this growth, investors have reason to question whether the current $56 billion market capitalization is justified and how it compares to competing networks like binance smart chain (BNB), Avalanche (AVAX) and Polygon (MATIC).

By analyzing the past 6-month price performance, there's an apparent decoupling from Terra (LUNA), Solana and Avalanche when compared to other smart contract platform competitors.

There is strong institutional appetite for Solana's ecosystem

Solana's market capitalization is more than double Avalanche and Terra which have $26 billion market caps. Searching Solana's latest news on Cointelegraph yields an exciting array of institutional investments, ranging from the $314 million private token sale by Solana Labs in June, to an $18 million fundraise in September by Solana's DEX project Orca.

There's solid evidence of a growing ecosystem judging by investor appetite. However, to understand how successful Solana's scalability solution is, we have to evaluate its usage metrics.

Looking at the number of active addresses on Solana's dApps is a good place to start.

Ethereum's leading dApp by active addresses is Uniswap, which has 188,200. Therefore, Raydium’s 97,600 weekly users is rather impressive considering it was launched just 10 months ago. Meanwhile, back in Feb. 2021, Uniswap already held over $4.3 billion TVL.

As for Solana’s NFT marketplace Magic Eden, its 58,400 weekly active addresses also account for more than half of Ethereum’s OpenSea, the sector’s absolute market leader in volume and users activity.

Avalanche user activity is highly concentrated on the Trader Joe decentralized finance app, but its $715 million weekly volume pales in comparison to Uniswap’s $22.1 billion or Raydium’s $12.5 billion. The same can be said by Polygon which has $573 million in trading activity at its QuickSwap DEX.

Solana has the third largest futures market

Solana currently holds the third largest futures open interest, which is the most relevant metric in derivatives contracts. This indicator aggregates the total number of contracts held by market participants regardless of the recent trading activity.

Despite the sharp drop since the Nov. 8 peak at $1.9 billion, the current $860 million futures open interest ranks Solana the third derivatives market by size. For example, Binance Coin (BNB) futures holds $520 million, followed by Terra (LUNA) with $430 million.

Solana leads in TVL, users and derivatives markets

Undoubtedly, there's an impressive amount of activity coming from Solana's on-chain data and derivatives markets. The network’s TVL increased by 15x over the past 6 months and Solana's dApps users is nearly half the amount of users on the Ethereum network.

Solana seems to be quickly closing the gap in three important metrics: TVL, active users, and derivatives markets. Competitors like Terra, Avalanche and Polygon seem a long way behind, which possibly justifies the market capitalization premium.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Tags
Dex
Related Posts
Avalanche (AVAX) price drops 45% in a month and data points to further downside
Avalanche (AVAX) is down 45% in 30 days and in the same time the cryptocurrencies total market capitalization shrank by 29%. Despite the recent downturn, this decentralized application (DApp) platform remains a top contender in the layer-1 and layer-2 race and it ranks high in terms of smart contract deposits and active addresses. Yet, the lackluster token price is still causing investors to rethink whether the network remains a “serious” competitor. The brutal sell-off on risk assets caused AVAX to test the $14.80 support multiple times, while the current market capitalization stands at $4.8 billion. It’s important also to note …
Markets / June 21, 2022
A sharp drop in TVL and DApp use preceded Avalanche’s (AVAX) 16% correction
After an impressive 73% rally between July 13 and Aug. 13, Avalanche (AVAX) has faced a 16% rejection from the $30.30 resistance level. Some analysts will try to pin the correction as a "technical adjustment," but the network’s deposits and decentralized applications reflect worsening conditions. To date, Avalanche remains 83% below its November 2021 all-time high at $148. More data than technical analysis can be analyzed to explain the 16% price drop, so let’s take a look at the network’s use in terms of deposits and users. The decentralized application (DApp) platform is still a top-15 contender with a $7.2 …
Blockchain / Aug. 18, 2022
Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand
Bitcoin’s (BTC) 65% recovery from sub-$29,500 on July 20 to a swing high of $48,200 on Aug. 14 took less than a month and helped bring fresh bullish momentum back to the crypto market and to traders who were dreading the prospect of another prolonged bear market. Currently, the BTC rally has stalled out near the $46,000 price level, and this phase of sideways trading is giving altcoins an opportunity to step forward. As shown in the chart below, the total market capitalization of the altcoin market has risen 80% since July 20. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin dominance rate is down …
Nft / Aug. 17, 2021
3 reasons why Ethereum price might not hit $5,000 anytime soon
The price of Ether (ETH) has been in a downward spiral ever since Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin presented at StartmeupHK Festival 2021. In a fireside chat session on May 27, Vitalik stated that several internal team conflicts caused the proof-of-stake migration to delay its launch. As reported by Cointelegraph, "Phase One," which introduces scalability through sharding, has been postponed to 2022. Furthermore, DeFi’s inherently decentralized nature might not be entirely beneficial because the sharding-style processing would need to run transactions through a relay chain. It’s impossible to pinpoint the reason behind Ether’s sharp fall from its all-time high, but the …
Markets / July 31, 2021
The crypto market bottom is ‘almost in’ — Market Talks chats with trader Korean Jew Crypto
On this week’s episode of Market Talks, we welcome Jake, also known as “Korean Jew Crypto” on Twitter and the founder of “The Trading Dojo,” a platform that provides quality coaching and education to help traders identify profitable trades on their own. The wide reaching interview covered KJ’s take on how to trade the Federal Open Markets Committee and Consumer Price Index events, along with his views on how Federal Reserve policy is impacting crypto prices. According to KJ: “In regards to what Powell said, and the way the news cycle has been, a few weeks ago I was adamant …
Bitcoin / Nov. 3, 2022