Research Shows Inverse Correlation Between USDT on Crypto Exchanges and Bitcoin's Price

Recent research shows that there is an inverse relationship between the percentage of the Tether (USDT) stablecoin on exchanges and Bitcoin’s (BTC) price.

Cryptocurrency market insights firm Santiment published analysis showing that the percentage of USDT held on exchanges is inversely related to Bitcoin’s price. In a May 4 tweet, the firm noted that the recent correction probably is not a trend inversion in Bitcoin’s movement:

“In spite of the minor $BTC correction over the weekend, prices are beginning to rebound close to $9,000 again. According to our metrics, one thing that is still trending in the right direction is the percent of $USDT on exchanges. As this chart clearly indicates, there is an inverse correlation between Bitcoin's price and USDT's supply on exchanges.”

Santiment also explained that since the percentage of USDT held on exchanges is decreasing, Bitcoin could go beyond $9,000 again.

Neither Santiment nor Tether answered Cointelegraph’s inquiry as of press time.

Stablecoins’ market caps grow

As the cryptocurrency market saw a major downturn in mid-March, altcoins saw their market caps grow. Still, as Cointelegraph reported at the time, Tether — the largest stablecoin by total market value — only gained about 0.5% in four weeks, while Circle’s USD Coin (USDC) saw a 40% increase.

Furthermore, during the recent Bitcoin’s rise to $9,000 Tether minted over 160 million new tokens within 24 hours in just two transactions.

Tether Held on Exchanges Could Help Forecast Bitcoin Bull Runs   May 7, 2020
Huobi Debuts Crypto Brokerage as Its Institutional Arm Grows 400% Since Q3 2019   Jan. 21, 2020
OKEx Says Crypto Is the Future of Money for Consumers in Unstable Economies   June 3, 2019
Crypto regulation is coming, but Bitcoin traders are still buying the dip   Dec. 20, 2021
Binance stablecoin BUSD sees a sharp market cap drop amid solvency and mismanagement worries   Jan. 26, 2023