Price analysis 3/28: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, LUNA, SOL, AVAX, DOT, DOGE
Bitcoin (BTC) and several altcoins surprised with their newfound strength during the weekend. Bitcoin’s rally easily sliced through the $45,900 level, which according to Glassnode was an area of resistance because several investors had purchased near that level when Bitcoin was declining after hitting its all-time high in November.
Bitcoin’s strength may have attracted buying in several altcoins, which are still languishing below their 52-week high. The rally in Bitcoin and the bottom fishing in altcoins has boosted investor sentiment, pushing the Crypto Fear and Greed Index into the “greed” territory.
Interestingly, the crypto markets have held a large part of their gains despite the tepid performance of the U.S. stock markets on March 28. This suggests that the crypto markets may be in the early stages of decoupling from the equity markets.
Could buyers sustain the momentum and clear the overhead resistance levels? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin hesitated on March 26 as seen from the inside-day candlestick. This indicated indecision among the bulls and the bears. This uncertainty resolved to the upside on March 27 as the bulls regrouped and propelled the price above the overhead resistance at $45,400.
The sharp rally of the past few days has pushed the relative strength index (RSI) into the overbought zone for the first time since October 2021. This suggests that the momentum favors the buyers.
The bears may attempt to stall the up-move at the resistance line of the ascending channel but if bulls overcome this barrier, the BTC/USDT pair could rally to the psychological level at $50,000 and later to $52,000.
If the price turns down from the resistance line, the buyers will try to flip $45,400 into support. If they succeed, it will suggest that the up-move may continue. The bears will have to pull and sustain the price below $45,400 to weaken the bullish momentum.
ETH/USDT
Ether (ETH) broke above the symmetrical triangle on March 25 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. However, the buyers did not cede ground to the bears and resumed their purchase on March 26.
The momentum picked up on March 27 and the ETH/USDT pair has reached $3,411 where the bulls may encounter a minor resistance. If bulls bulldoze their way through, the ETH/USDT pair could rally toward the psychological level at $4,000.
Alternatively, if the price turns down from $3,411, the pair could retest the breakout level from the triangle. If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest strong buying on dips. The bulls will then again try to resume the up-move.
The bears will have to pull and sustain the price inside the triangle to suggest that the bullish momentum may have weakened.
BNB/USDT
Binance Coin (BNB) continued its northward march and has reached the overhead resistance at $445. The bears are likely to defend this level with vigor.
The rising 20-day exponential moving average ($402) and the RSI near the overbought zone indicate that bulls are in control. If buyers thrust the price above $445, the BNB/USDT pair could rally toward the psychological level at $500. This level could again act as a strong resistance.
If the price turns down from $500 but does not break below $445, it will suggest that the bulls have flipped the level into support. That will increase the likelihood of a break above the overhead resistance.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from $445, the pair could drop to the 20-day EMA.
XRP/USDT
XRP turned up on March 26, indicating that bulls are buying on minor dips. The buyers pushed the price above the strong resistance at $0.86 but are facing resistance near $0.91.
Both moving averages are sloping up and the RSI is in the positive zone. If buyers do not allow the price to slide below $0.86, the prospects of a break above $0.91 increase. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could rally to the psychological level at $1.
This positive view will be invalidated if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance at $0.91 and plummets below the moving averages. Such a move could pull the price to the strong support at $0.70.
ADA/USDT
Cardano (ADA) has continued its recovery and the price has reached the overhead resistance at $1.26 where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense.
The rising 20-day EMA ($1) and the RSI in the overbought zone suggest that bulls are in control. If the price turns down from overhead resistance but the bulls do not give up much ground, it will increase the possibility of a break above $1.26.
If that happens, the ADA/USDT pair could rally to $1.60 and then march higher toward $1.80. This bullish view will invalidate if the price turns down from the overhead resistance and breaks below the psychological level at $1.
LUNA/USDT
Terra’s LUNA token has been stuck in a tight range between the overhead resistance at $96 and the support at the 20-day EMA ($90). This tight-range trading could soon lead to a sharp trending move.
The rising 20-day EMA and the RSI in the positive territory suggest that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers propel and sustain the price above $96, the LUNA/USDT pair could retest the all-time high at $105.
This level is likely to act as a major obstacle but if bulls overcome it, the uptrend may resume. The pair could then rally to $125. This positive view will invalidate in the short term if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA. That could open the gates for a possible decline to $82.
SOL/USDT
After trading near the overhead resistance at $106 for a few days, Solana (SOL) broke and closed above the level on March 27. The moving averages have completed a bullish crossover and the RSI is near the overbought zone, indicating advantage to buyers.
If bulls sustain the price above $106, the SOL/USDT pair could rise to $122. The bears are expected to defend this level aggressively. If the price turns down from this level and breaks below $106, it will suggest that the pair may remain range-bound for a few more days.
The bulls will have to clear the overhead hurdle at $122 to signal the start of a new potential uptrend. The pair could then start its up-move which could reach the overhead resistance zone between $158 and $163.
Related: Bitcoin to $58K next? A 2019-like 'reversal ascending triangle' hints at more upside for BTC
AVAX/USDT
Avalanche (AVAX) rebounded off the 20-day EMA ($83) on March 26, indicating that bulls are buying on dips. The buyers will now try to sustain the price above the immediate resistance at $92.
If they succeed, the AVAX/USDT pair could rally to the overhead resistance zone at $98 to $100. This is an important zone for the bears to defend because a break and close above it could extend the rally to $120.
If the price turns down from the overhead zone, the bears will try to pull the pair to the moving averages. If the price rebounds off this level, the pair may remain stuck between the moving averages and the overhead zone for a few days.
DOT/USDT
Polkadot (DOT) picked up momentum on March 27 and has reached the stiff overhead resistance at $23. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($20) and the RSI near the overbought zone suggest that bulls have the upper hand.
If bulls drive and sustain the price above $23, the DOT/USDT pair could rally to $28. If bulls succeed in clearing this hurdle, the up-move may extend to $30 and later to $32.
Alternatively, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the bears will try to pull the pair to the 20-day EMA. A strong rebound off this support will suggest that bulls continue to buy on dips. That will increase the possibility of a break above the overhead barrier.
This positive view will invalidate if the price breaks below the moving averages. That could extend the consolidation between $16 and $23 for a few more days.
DOGE/USDT
The bulls flipped the 50-day simple moving average ($0.13) into support on March 25. This attracted strong buying in Dogecoin (DOGE), putting it on the path for a possible rally to $0.17.
The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the RSI is near the overbought zone, indicating that buyers have the upper hand. If bulls drive the price above $0.17, the DOGE/USDT pair could rise to $0.22.
If the price turns down from $0.17 but does not give up much ground, it will suggest that the traders expect the recovery to continue.
Conversely, if the price turns down sharply from the current level or the overhead resistance, it will signal that the pair may remain range-bound between $0.12 and $0.17 for a few more days.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
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